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Anonymous

24 Sep 2024

āˆ™

General Investing

Where should I allocate my investment in Endowus if there's a risk of recession in the next few months?

I have some of my CPF OA invested in Endowus. Mostly in Amundi Prime USA.
In case of a recession happening, which fund among Endowus portfolio should I choose to reallocate them to?

Discussion (29)

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Will be advisable to consult with experience financial consultant.

Dear Anonymous,

If that is what your assessment says then divesting out of equity and shifting to debt instruments would be recommended. EndowUS cash smart options invest in debt and money market funds.

However there are other options as well apart from EndowUS.

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In the face of a potential recession, it is wise to shift toward more defensive or diversified investments that can help reduce risk while maintaining long-term growth potential. Here are some Endowus portfolio strategies that may suit a more cautious approach:

  1. Balanced/Conservative Multi-Asset Portfolios: Endowus offers globally diversified multi-asset portfolios that include a mix of stocks, bonds, and other asset classes. A more conservative allocation (with higher bond exposure) can help cushion the impact of stock market downturns.
  2. All-Weather or Core-Satellite Strategies: Some of Endowus' funds, like the All-Weather or Core-Satellite portfolios, aim to perform reasonably well across different market conditions. These portfolios typically mix equity with fixed income, alternatives, or inflation-hedging assets.
  3. Global Bonds and Fixed Income: Moving to bond-focused funds like those within the PIMCO or Vanguard fixed income series may offer stability. Bonds tend to perform better in a downturn as they offer less volatility compared to equities. These could be options to help preserve capital during uncertain times.
  4. Sustainable or ESG Portfolios: If sustainability and impact investing is part of your strategy, some ESG-focused portfolios may provide resilience in a downturn. They tend to be less volatile due to their exposure to industries like healthcare, utilities, and renewable energy.

Since you currently have exposure to the Amundi Prime USA fund (a US equity fund), shifting a portion of your portfolio towards bond or multi-asset options, as well as globally diversified funds, could be a more defensive stance. Keep in mind your risk tolerance and long-term goals when reallocating, as markets may rebound after downturns.

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Ngooi Zhi Cheng

03 Oct 2024

Student Ambassador 2020/21 at Seedly

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As professionals in Singapore, we often find ourselves at a crossroads when it comes to our finances. The looming threat of a recession can make even the most seasoned investors second-guess their strategies. But here's the thing – uncertainty doesn't have to mean inaction. In fact, it's during these challenging times that smart financial decisions can set the foundation for long-term wealth and security.

I recently worked with a client who was in a similar situation. A 35-year-old software engineer, James had been diligently investing his CPF OA through Endowus, primarily in the Amundi Prime USA fund. With recession concerns on the horizon, he was considering a complete overhaul of his portfolio. After a thorough analysis of his financial goals and risk tolerance, we actually found that a few strategic adjustments, rather than a complete reallocation, were all that was needed to fortify his portfolio against potential economic headwinds.

Now, let's address a common myth: the idea that you need to completely exit the market or switch to ultra-conservative investments at the first sign of economic trouble. This knee-jerk reaction often does more harm than good. Remember, timing the market perfectly is nearly impossible, and being out of the market during a recovery can be just as costly as being in during a downturn.

So, what's the smart play here? Based on my experience working with professionals like yourself, here's my advice:

  1. Diversification is key: While the Amundi Prime USA fund is solid, consider diversifying across geographies and asset classes. Look into Endowus' global equity funds or multi-asset portfolios that offer exposure to different markets and sectors.
  2. Consider defensive sectors: If you're concerned about a recession, consider allocating a portion of your portfolio to more defensive sectors. Endowus offers funds that focus on consumer staples, healthcare, and utilities – industries that tend to be more resilient during economic downturns.
  3. Don't neglect bonds: In times of market volatility, high-quality bonds can provide a cushion to your portfolio. Endowus offers several bond fund options that could help balance your risk.
  4. Dollar-cost averaging: Instead of making drastic changes, consider gradually adjusting your portfolio over time. This strategy can help mitigate the impact of market volatility.
  5. Keep some dry powder: Having some cash or cash equivalents in your portfolio can provide opportunities to invest if the market dips significantly.
  6. Focus on quality: Look for funds that invest in companies with strong balance sheets, consistent cash flows, and competitive advantages. These tend to weather economic storms better.

Remember, your investment strategy should align with your long-term goals, not short-term market fluctuations. A recession, if it comes, will pass. The key is to position yourself to ride out the storm and capitalize on the recovery.

Ultimately, the right strategy depends on your individual circumstances – your age, risk tolerance, financial goals, and overall financial picture. These are complex decisions that benefit from personalized advice.

If you'd like to dive deeper into tailoring your investment strategy for uncertain times, or if you have any other financial planning questions, I'm here to help. Follow me on Instagram @ngooooied for daily financial tips and insights tailored for professionals in Singapore. Let's navigate these uncertain waters together and ensure your financial future remains bright, regardless of what the economy throws our way.

Robin

02 Oct 2024

Administrator at SG

If u foresee a bear market, or have fears, then perhaps u might wanna use the OA to:

1) Paydown hou...

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