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Terry Choo

05 Apr 2020

Insurance

How does an endowment plan perform during a recession or in a period of a poor economic environment?

I'm curious how endowment plans will perform during an economic downturn. If possible, for those who had an endowment plan and held it throughout that period, please share how it performed, in terms of investment returns. With regards to the poor economic conditions we are in due to the outbreak of COVID 19, would like to get advice whether I should time the market, and get a endowment plan only after the economy picks up. Thanks in advance for all suggestions and opinions.

Discussion (5)

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Elijah Lee

11 Mar 2020

Senior Financial Services Manager at Phillip Securities (Jurong East)

Hi Terry,

Short of the insurer announcing a cut in bonuses, endowment plans will still give you the reversionary bonuses in the policy, and for policie maturing, the terminal bonus.

Insurers are able to do this as they will keep surplus returns from good years in reserve and use them to 'pad' returns in bad years. Only in really terrible years (think 2008 GFC) will there be a situation where all insurers cut bonuses (then again, one insurer maintained their bonus that year). If that happens, you won't be getting the initial projections, but the very moment the first bonus is declared and vested in a policy, you're already making more than the initial guarantee provided to you. So the guaranteed return of an endowment can only keep going up from the initial numbers since bonuses are guaranteed once vested.

In that same vein, it doesn't matter when you purchase an endowment policy. If bonuses are going to be declared that year, anyone in that particular policy's par fund will get it, regardless of when they bought it. The real question is whether bonuses can be maintained for the entire duration of a plan; in my view, it is not impossible, but not easy either. So start by having a good guarantee on an endowment, this will ensure that no matter what happens, you have a floor on your returns.

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Hariz Arthur Maloy

11 Mar 2020

Independent Financial Advisor at Promiseland Independent

Unless the insurer cuts bonuses, you will the projected bonuses listed in the policy.

You can't time a purchase because unlike a fund, you're not buying at a listed price. It doesn't matter when you enter into the participating fund.

Everyone buying the same product, gets the same return.

Tan Li Xing

11 Mar 2020

Financial Consultant at Prudential Assurance Company (Singapore)

Hi Terry,

The uniqueness about endowment plans, are that they are actually participating policies, ...

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