What is your opinion on the 2020 market? - Seedly
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Anonymous

Asked on 16 Nov 2019

What is your opinion on the 2020 market?

And how do you think it'll impact you?

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Depends on your area of concern.

If you are referring to investment, I have compiled a list of financial crisis and reasons not to invest since early 90s. But year after year, the market outperforms the critics. Therefore, it has no impact on my investment, unless I am a speculator and not an investor.

If you are referring to career, unemployment is everywhere. Likewise for recruitment. The only way to stay in a job is to stay relevant. So long as I have skills, knowledge, and experience, I won't be jobless.

In summary, regardless of market movement, life goes on. Just do proper planning for myself and stay focus on my long-term goals. At the sae time, remind myself not to be distracted by short-term obstacles.

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Kenneth Lou
Kenneth Lou

17 Nov 2019

Haha this is true: Every year people say the market is going to crash.
Pang Zhe Liang
Pang Zhe Liang

18 Nov 2019

Yup, and every year more people are earning than losing from their investment. 🤷🏻‍♂️
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Kenneth Lou
Kenneth Lou, Co-founder at Seedly
Level 9. God of Wisdom
Updated on 17 Nov 2019

Every year people say the market is going to crash... However, it seems to be more of small market corrections and reactions to things which are happening even in 2019:

  • Brexit

  • US China Trade War

  • Hong Kong protests

In 2020, I feel that it will be something similar as well, unless there are things which retail investors don't know about.

I always feel that retail investors are always the last to know because usually when news comes out, it's already too late. So it doesn't help to speculate, but instead just ride the wave when it comes.

I've always been a big fan of these things:

  • Education and learning about investing (these never go away)

  • Knowledge to Invest in good underlying undervalued companies or markets will always come handy

  • Keeping a sizeable warchest while continue to DCA into ETF markets (something I have been doing personally since I've started investing 5 to 6 years ago)

Time in market is better than timing the market, but also keep an amount for you to move bigger when people really get scared and market tanks!

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Vynn Leong
Vynn Leong

28 Dec 2019

Agree with you, Kenneth. My personal take is that we are in a recession, but if our mindset is in a recession too, then we are really done for. Keep learning, upgrading your skill sets and mindsets. Invest your resources (time, energy and money) wisely. You can do well even in a recession.
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Hello! I thought it will be useful to let you know that I had just published a speech and presentation deck on my blog that touches on my market outlook for 2020.

My key message is that it's useless to invest based on market outlooks. Instead, it makes more sense for us to invest for the long run with a sound investment framework. ​​​

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Keith Tan
Keith Tan
Level 3. Wonderkid
Answered on 27 Dec 2019

This article has a pretty succinct explaination on the effect that the interest rates set by the US Federal Reserve has on US markets (and to a certain extent, other developed markets). IMO it is one of the major factors you should be looking out w.r.t. market direction.

https://finance.zacks.com/effect-interest-rates-stock-market-5789.html

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Cedric Jamie Soh
Cedric Jamie Soh, Director at Seniorcare.com.sg
Level 9. God of Wisdom
Answered on 16 Nov 2019

There are different opinions, well, the bears vs the bulls.

The bears think that we are overdue for a recession. In a way they are right, but then, negative interest rates, MMT (Modern Money Theory), QE (quantitive easing) has probably changed the rules of games many years ago.

The bulls think that as a presidential election year, 2020 will be a good economical year.

I think the bulls may be right. You only need Donald trump to lift some trade tariffs and the economy will get a 6 - 9 month boost, where consumers grab chinese imports and fast forward their purchases. And hes a businessman, he knows he needs the economy to win the presidential elections.

disclaimer: don't take investment advice from strangers off the internet.

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Kenneth Lou
Kenneth Lou

17 Nov 2019

Totally agree: "disclaimer: don't take investment advice from strangers off the internet."
Cedric Jamie Soh
Cedric Jamie Soh

21 Nov 2019

Heehee.
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Davin
Davin
Level 7. Grand Master
Answered on 09 Mar 2020

Definitely one of the most exciting year in terms of volatility. And its good for people like me who came in late to buy the stock at cheaper price now and only harvest the gain 15 years later.

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Frankie Rappaport
Frankie Rappaport
Top Contributor

Top Contributor (Aug)

Level 9. God of Wisdom
Answered on 08 Mar 2020

I don't know, and I cannot know.

But I never ask myself that question because I firmly

add regularly (cost averaging),

whenever money is coming in, completely independent

from Corona crashes of bull euphoria.​​​

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Sudhan
Sudhan
Level 6. Master
Updated on 03 Jan 2020

Hi anonymous, I think some of the Asian markets will play catch up in 2020 since they underperformed when compared to the S&P 500. Eg. of such markets are Singapore and Hong Kong.

However, I’m not changing my investing plans based on that prediction of mine. It’s too short a time frame.

I’ll continue to pick stocks that have strong balance sheets and produce lots of free cash flow. Such companies are highly likely to stand the test of time.

I’ve penned my thoughts here so you can check it out if you would like to know further! And, all the best in your investing journey in 2020 and beyond!​​​

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Wilson Nid A Break
Wilson Nid A Break
Level 9. God of Wisdom
Answered on 28 Dec 2019

If it crash, i will buy and load up more. Simple as that

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Lihua Lh
Lihua Lh
Level 4. Prodigy
Answered on 20 Nov 2019

Job security.

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YX
You Xin Toh
Level 4. Prodigy
Answered on 19 Nov 2019

Never invest base on stock tips or news. No one can predict the market.

Always look at the fundamentals of a stock and technical indicators (if you know) before knowing what to buy, when to buy or sell.

Markets move in cycles. Whatever goes up must come down as stock price dont move in a straight line (linearly).

Therefore, look for fundamentally good companies and staying vested in the long run is key.

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