Asked by Anonymous

(Stocks Discussion) SGX: Creative Technology [SGX: C76]?

Discuss anything about share price, dividends, yield, ratios, fundamentals, technical analysis and if you would buy or sell this stock on the SGX Singapore markets. Do take note that the answers given by our members are just your opinions, so please do your own due diligence before making an investment!

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  • Isaac Chan
    Isaac Chan, Business at NUS
    Top Contributor

    Top Contributor (Apr)

    Level 7. Grand Master
    Answered on 18 Apr 2019

    TL;DR Revenue and net profit don’t look very rosy for Creative. There is also risk in that most of their revenue comes from the same kinds of products. A competitive environment also doesn’t help.

    What is Creative’s business?

    Creative Technology plays on the global stage, but is actually a Singapore born company. With the HQ here, they also have offices in Shanghai and Silicon Valley among others. Most of their products are sound and video consumer electronics which to my personal experience, are quite high quality. They started off with humble beginnings, and the story of how they won Apple in a $100m lawsuit is a good read.

    Growth Prospects

    Competitive Market Place

    With decreasing sales and weak cashflows, I don’t expect the company to do very well in the future. The market is also looking very competitive, with many different players competing with the same market share. As I elucidate below, I don’t think more consumers will buy more consumer electronics over time.

    Concentration Risk

    Creative faces this risk because almost all its revenue comes from the same kind of product. This means that in the event of a downturn in this market, Creative will be affected very heavily. Of course the upside is that if the products are very popular, Creative will do very well but this is not the case. This lack of diversification in what Creative sells is also probably why revenue has dropped over time.

    Diversified Across Regions

    Thankfully, Creative seems well diversified across the globe, with sales from different regions. This reduces the risk of earnings being too heavily affected if one region does not do well.

    What do their financials tell us?

    Income Statement

    Revenue has actually decreased consistently over the years from FY16 onwards. This is quite a worrying sign. The consumer electronics space have become increasingly competitive with offerings from boutique competitors that offer a wide array of high quality products as well. I believe that smart phones now also provide better ear pieces, so fewer consumers will buy ear phones outside.

    Despite decreasing revenue, R&D and selling and admin expenses have not decreased with it, which led to decreasing profitability over the years.

    Even though Net Profit is actually positive, this was actually due to a gain from a litigation settlement with an equipment vendor to recover damages for a wireless broadband project. I believe that this should be seen as a one-off event, such that without this lawsuit, net profit would still be negative, which is quite a bad sign.

    Balance Sheet

    With a current ratio of more than 5, Creative’s short-term liquidity is very strong. This means that the company can meet short-term financial obligations very well. In fact, most of the company’s current assets as in Cash. But with this large amount of cash pile, the company should have spent it on other strategic initiatives to grow the business.

    The company does not seem to hold much debt as well, as seen by how debt and interest expenses don’t even appear on the financial statements.

    Cashflow

    Like net profit, cashflow from operating activities was positive due to the law suit. Without this, cashflow here would be negative too, just like the previous year. The way the business operates is working capital (inventory, receivables, payables etc) also doe not generate more cash flow.

    Cashflow from investing activities seems to be propped up by the sales and purchases of financial assets. There was also lesser purchase of property and equipment, probably reflecting the decrease in orders of the company.

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  • Jonathan Chia Guangrong
    Jonathan Chia Guangrong, Fund Manager at JCG Fund
    Level 6. Master
    Answered on 20 Apr 2019

    Personally I feel their products aren't high quality enough, contrary to what Isaac mentioned. It's targeted at the low end of the retail segment and not at the mid to high end audiophile segment where the real money is.

    I think that it's great that they sorta created the computer audio segment with sound blaster and subsequently tried to give apple a run for their money with the zen micro (which I personally owned back when it first launched). But they are stuck in those days and R&D have not really caught up to current market trends.

    Creative as a company needs to find its feet and focus to produce a product segment that can wow the audiophile crowd. And definitely not with the super x-fi which at first impression sound really artificial.

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