Hi guys! As a young person, do you think I should invest in more volatile stocks? I saw another post recently saying that younger folks should invest in more risky stocks. Thanks! - Seedly
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Asked by David Lim

Asked on 29 Mar 2019

Hi guys! As a young person, do you think I should invest in more volatile stocks? I saw another post recently saying that younger folks should invest in more risky stocks. Thanks!

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Kishor Bhagwat
Kishor Bhagwat
Level 4. Prodigy
Updated on 07 Jun 2019

Hello,

Volatility is a characteristic that statistician's can measure - it is nothing but the degree of movement of a stock's price. More volatile stocks have larger movement in their prices 'generally'.

Typical stocks would be around 15% annual volatility. It means that based on past observations over a long period of time, it is observed that frequently, price of a particular stock could rise/drop by 15% in a year (this is a One standard deviation move in math-speak). It just reflects history, and doesn't mean that the price wont rise or fall by more than 15%.

If you buy a stock today, and never check the price of the stock for another year, this volatility makes no difference to you. You will simply look at purchase price, and price at the moment and calculate the return.

The trouble starts when you use volatility as a measurement of 'risk'. Most people do that, because there is no way to measure "risk of permanent loss" -which is the real risk everyone is worried about. So volatility is a convenient measure, but not an accurate one. We're basically saying "if a stock has high volatility, it can really zig zag - and if it goes down too much, the investor will get scared, and sell at a low price to recover atleast part of the investment". So - high volatility is mistakenly thought of as 'high risk' - but it serves the purpose of some investors and advisors.

Back to your question - seeking higher 'risk' is the wrong way to think about higher return. Just because you sought higher risk stocks doesn't mean they will give you higher return - they could be volatile simply because of political reasons or due to currency fluctuations.

You should evaluate good stocks/ETFs, and then assess if their volatility is acceptable to you. Think of two choices - you want to go from A to B, and there is either a meandering but safe road, or a roller-coaster to reach there. The roller-coaster might take you there faster, but you might fall sick on the way, or it might break down and you'll never reach there. The meandering but safe road also has a higher probability to get you there, but of course, doesn't guarantee it. You have to choose what you road you want to take based on your life situation and goals.

Sometimes, people reach point B from both roads, but in investing, the one who took less risk for the same return is considered a better money manager. This is measured by comparing risk-adjusted return - also called Sharpe Ratio.

Hope this helps.

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David Lim
David Lim

on 01 Apr 2019

Whoa thanks for the answer man! It is very well thought-out and detailed
Thaddeus Tan
Thaddeus Tan

on 03 Apr 2019

Class answer
Leonard Tan
Leonard Tan
Level 6. Master
Updated on 07 Jun 2019

I personally hold some investments in more risky stocks and as someone below 30, I think I am qualified to call myself young;)

This is how I see it: At a younger age, individuals tend to have less financial obligations and commitments, and therefore we can afford to subject my investments to greater risk especially when you have a steady income flow monthly. Not everyone sits well with the same risk appetite and so ultimately it depends on the individual, but I would say general circumstances would support younger people holding more aggressive portfolios(conversely for how retirees hold safer passive portfolios- less incentive for larger risk appetite)

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David Lim
David Lim

on 01 Apr 2019

Thanks for your inputs Leonard
Richard Woon Tian Jun
Richard Woon Tian Jun
Level 6. Master
Updated on 07 Jun 2019

Younger people should invest in more risky stocks because they have lesser dependents/ reliance on this amount of money to survive in a sense. For eg. You, at the age of 20, healthy, could most likely work and live off that paycheck instead of the investment returns you make, compared to when you are 80 years old, retired, and have to rely purely on savings to live off of, and investment returns may be your only source of income. So if you are a person at the age of 40 with no dependents, and having alot of financial freedom, you could have a greater investement tolerance for riskier stocks than a man in his early 20s who has to support a family!

So, essentially everything depends on your own investment risk tolerance and goals. If you are relatively debt and dependent free, you could be looking towards more volatile growth stocks if you are looking for riskier forms of capital accumulation.

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David Lim
David Lim

on 01 Apr 2019

Thanks Richard. Your comments are helpful!
Gabriel Tham
Gabriel Tham, Kenichi Tag Team Member at Tag Team
Level 8. Wizard
Answered on 29 Mar 2019

The key is calculated risk. Everyone has different risk profile. Some can stomach bigger volatility but some cannot.

Don't take unnecessary risk. Find out your risk tolerance. Start from a position of safety first.

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Yong Kah Hwee
Yong Kah Hwee
Level 6. Master
Updated on 07 Jun 2019

If investing in riskier stocks gives you sleepless nights, then no I do not think that you should invest in risky stocks.

Like what Gabriel said, it depends on the individual's risk appetite. Also, do remember to do research before investing. It will then be a calculated risk instead of a foolish misttake.

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David Lim
David Lim

on 01 Apr 2019

Thank you Kah Hwee