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I foresee mediocre returns for US market in 2 decades. So im looking to tap into Asia.
Or would you recommend Chindia ETF to diversify better?
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The recent clampdowns and new regulations by the CCP showed that growth will be anything but steady in China. At this point, I'm still rather apprehensive over the prospects of investing in China due to the overwhelming influence by the CCP and how it can quickly affect the market.
If I were to invest in China, I might consider a globally / Asia diversified fund which spreads the risk over multiple countries. Perhaps, it would also be interesting to look at other markets within Asia as such as Vietnam or Taiwan.
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India market and currency have their own risks. I will not invest into India. Look to the Inflation Rate of India, no relevant net returns possible with 6% (or 4-5%, or more) possible ...
U.S. future development: nobody could know that.
Diversification seems essential (as before) and China slowly opens up over decades. Goverment isn't so communist anymore, is it ? However, autocratic-centralized, intransparent and ethically debatable yes.
History, with U.S. clearly weakened,
played into China hands.
So a mix of U.S. plus China seems to me the best strategy for main allocation (plus some smaller economies like Japan, Sweden, South Korea, Denmark, Germany, Switzerland).