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I once came across this idea1 but never took time to do the calculations myself. Would love to hear your thoughts, additional resources on this.
We could probably peg the discussion to "stronger" currencies if it helps.
(For reference, there was this recent answer by Kelly Trinh2 that addressed this.)
1 https://twitter.com/cperciva/status/11593586767...
2 https://seedly.sg/questions/is-it-possible-to-o...
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Kelly Trinh
14 Nov 2019
Backoffice technical at financial services firm
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Well I'd say this Kelly character has probably lost money trying out this stunt himself and on that basis alone is enough to say he is probably right lol lol lol.
More seriously - a theorectical reason why it wouldn't work is that a big institutional investor would be able to exploit this on a large scale and through their actions move the FX rates to close any arbitrage opportunity.
On a more practical sense - trying to exploit without access to forward FX market would mean it is uncovered and so there is a chance you could get killed by FX moves (historical examples would be where folks tried borrowing in low interest rate dolllars and got burnt when their home currency moved against them).
But - don't want to crowd out other voices so happy to hear others chime in on possibilities