facebookHow long do you think COVID-19 will last? When do you expect the stock markets to recover? - Seedly

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Daniel

Level 4

23 May 2020

Random

How long do you think COVID-19 will last? When do you expect the stock markets to recover?

Markets nose-dived multiple times from an all-time high, and the outcome seems to be unprecedented. However, markets will recover in the long run so stay invested guys!

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Discussion (23)

What are your thoughts?

Kenneth Lou

Kenneth Lou

27 Apr 2020

Level 14·Co-founder at Seedly

Here's an update to this, around 1.5 months after you asked this question!

I saw a recent data driven report that SUTD has put out and it definitely seems like the most legitimate, data-backed one of all the reports I have been reading.

You can find the full daily updated report here.

And yes, if you've heard about the saying it will get worse before it gets better, the above normal distribution curves looks like what is being observed.

Here are THREE Highlights from this report (which will directly concern the markets across the world):

Singapore

  • Reach the peak on: 5th May 2020

  • End: 4th June 2020 (97% predicition)

World

  • Already at peak

  • End: 27th May 2020 (97% predicition)

  • End: 8th Dec 2020 (100% predicition)

US

  • Already at peak

  • End: 11th May 2020 (97% predicition)

*Disclaimer: Content from the SUTD Data website is STRICTLY ONLY for educational and research purposes and may contain errors. The model and data are inaccurate to the complex, evolving, and heterogeneous realities of different countries. Predictions are uncertain by nature. Readers must take any predictions with caution. Overly optimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it may loosen our disciplines and controls and cause the turnaround of the virus and infection, and must be avoided.​​​

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Elijah Lee

Elijah Lee

07 Mar 2020

Level 18·Independent Financial Advisor at Phillip Securities (Jurong East)

My guess is that it should be over before end of this year. Markets will recover in tandem with the news. It's a guess though, so if the virus mutates into something worse, then things will become very drawn out and we have to wait longer for recovery.

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Cedric Jamie Soh

Cedric Jamie Soh

22 Apr 2020

Level 12·Director at Seniorcare.com.sg

Whooa this question was asked on 06 March, its now 22 April.

so with new knowledge and scientists' ...

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